“how safe are these?” If you are talking about a publicly traded REIT, they are probably quite safe, in that the REIT’s financials are generally transparent. The same is probably true for a publicly registered, but non-traded REIT, as they will use the same accounting standards as a publicly traded REIT. The primary difference between the two is that the shares of a non-traded REIT are not as liquid (or maybe not at all liquid) and the redemption price may not be the same as a true ‘market’ price. In the case of a publicly traded REIT, the shares are (typically) fully liquid and the market sets the price. Watch out for non-registered, non-traded REITs, which may offer you neither financial transparency, nor liquidity.
The bigger risk is probably related to the performance of the individual property that you would exchange into. If it doesn’t perform well, it is unlikely that the REIT would exercise their call option. If it is out-performing the pro-forma, the investors may want to keep it (which they can’t do if the REIT exercises their call option). There is a fairly simple metric that will give you a reasonable idea if the property is likely to be called by the REIT; if the return for the property, based on the ‘call’ price is greater than the dividend yield for the REIT as a whole, the property is accretive to the REIT and they would probably exercise their call option. If the return is lower, the property would dilute the REIT’s dividend yield, and they may not exercise their call option. In both cases, of course, their may be other compelling reasons that would cause the REIT to exercise or not exercise their call option.
So far, the results have been mixed. In some cases the REIT exercised their call option and the REIT stock went through the roof along with other REIT’s during 2005 and 2006. In some cases the REIT exercised their option but was a non-traded REIT so the investors did not have an easy path to liquidity. In other cases the REIT failed to exercise their call option and the investors were left with an ‘orphan’ property, run by an organization that was not set up to handle the investor relations requirements of TIC owners. As with all alternative investments, tread carefully!
Jim
James G. Shaw
President and Chief Executive Officer
CapHarbor, Inc.
www.capharbor.com